Sunday, October 12, 2008

Web 2.0: most likely to crater

A regular topic on this blog is the problem of Web 2.0 business models, and in particular that these emperors have no clothes.

To this same end, on Friday CNET published a list of 11 Web 2.0 companies most likely to run out of money and die:

  • Twitter
  • Meebo
  • TripIt
  • Zillow
  • Pandora
  • Skype
  • Ask
  • DailyMotion
  • Netvibes
  • MySpace
Some of these make sense, as with Pandora, which has one of the top iPhone apps but has publicly said that (due to onerous record label royalties) that its end is near.

Some of the others I don’t get. Why list MySpace (with a rich sugar daddy) but not Facebook (with neither a sugar daddy nor a business model)? Skype and Ask may have troubles, but they each have a sugar daddy.

As with any other prediction, it will be a year or two before we see how prescient columnist Rafe Needleman was.

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